Republican News · Thursday 12 March 1998

[An Phoblacht]

A clear strategy towards a United Ireland


Brian Campbell sees in Gerry Adams's latest article an important landmark in the peace process

``Mr Trimble is making a huge mistake if he thinks that any nationalist party can sign up to any agreement which does not go as far as the fundamental changes which are required for a democratic settlement,'' Gerry Adams said. ``Mr Trimble is deluding himself if he does not understand the sea change within nationalism over the last thirty years.''
The significance of Gerry Adams's article in Ireland on Sunday (published here) has largely been missed by media commentators. They have described it as a restatement of a ``hardline'' position and it has been rubbished as unrealistic by Unionists at the Stormont talks.

These Unionist and media viewpoints are not unexpected but they are mistaken. In particular, they are part of a general misreading of the popular mood among nationalists and certain sections of unionism. It is this mood which Gerry Adams has captured in his article.

The media and unionists are not the only ones who have misread this popular mood. Just over two weeks ago when Sinn Féin were about to be expelled from the talks, the relaxed approach of Seamus Mallon of the SDLP and spokespeople for the Dublin government showed that sections of the nationalist political elite were out of touch with popular opinion. It was noticeable that as the events in Dublin Castle unfolded that week, concern among the SDLP and Dublin government grew. The reason? In the background their supporters were telling them how deeply unpopular the decision to expel Sinn Féin was.

Similarly, when the SDLP conceded on a Northern Assembly without a fight in the negotiations, the backlash was immediate. I myself witnessed a senior SDLP negotiator being berated on the subject by a lifelong SDLP voter in a hotel toilet. ``What the hell are yous playing at up there?'' the middle-aged man demanded. ``We didn't send you up there to get us a new Stormont.''

It was one small example of a widespread phenomenon: nationalists want radical change. And they know that the way to get it is by maximum nationalist unity. In his article, Adams has recognised the mood and reached out to that wider nationalist constituency by setting out, in concrete terms, an acceptable outcome to the talks.

d make no mistake, no-one is better at reading that nationalist mood than the Sinn Féin leadership.

Gerry Adams, at a press conference on Monday, made reference to this when he spoke about David Trimble's rejection of his article. ``Mr Trimble is making a huge mistake if he thinks that any nationalist party can sign up to any agreement which does not go as far as the fundamental changes which are required for a democratic settlement,'' he said. ``Mr Trimble is deluding himself if he does not understand the sea change within nationalism over the last thirty years.''

That statement is central to the problem at the heart of the talks. Quite simply, the status quo won't do because nationalists won't have it. The old days are gone and the talks agreement must begin the process of moving towards a new Ireland.

d therein lies another constituency addressed by Gerry Adams's article. There are those within Unionism who realise that new thinking is required and that the `no surrender' and `what we have, we hold' sloganising no longer suffices. They will welcome this article. They may not agree with it, but they will recognise it as a worthy and genuine contribution to the process. That is an important step in Sinn Féin's ongoing engagement with Unionism.

The article is also an important development in the thinking of Sinn Féin. It lays out for the first time the transitional arrangements on the way to a United Ireland. In the 1970s the party's position was to demand British withdrawal in the lifetime of a British parliament. But the nature of the arrangements over the course of those five years was never explicitly stated. It now is, and within republican policy. And the remarkable development of Sinn Féin is such that it is a position which can gain widespread support.

The Sinn Féin position can gain this support because the party has the only strategy which charts a clear way out of the conflict. Every other party is content to tinker with the fundamentally unjust political arrangements. The republican analysis recognises that partition and the creation of a sectarian state are central to the conflict. Structures which effectively promoted sectarian politics and which entrenched injustice and inequality as a result must be dismantled. That cannot be done by any sort of an internal settlement. There is a growing recognition that the failed political entity of the Six Counties cannot be resuscitated and that radically new arrangements must be put in place.

It is this thinking that Gerry Adams's `Bridge to the Future' article expresses. It is an important political initiative which all republicans should study.

Adams also made it clear that Sinn Féin's objective of an end to the union would not be achieved by May. ``Even if everyone was agreed on it, it would take longer than that to sort everything out,'' he said. ``Therefore the struggle for this entirely legitimate, democratic and desirable objective will continue beyond May.''

His statement brings into focus an often repeated point made by Sinn Féin. The current talks are a phase in the struggle. ``Whatever agreement is produced by this talks process it will be judged on whether it effectively tackles and removes the causes of conflict, and whether it moves us all, as part of a rolling process, or on a transitional basis, towards Irish unity and independence,'' Adams said.

In his article, Gerry Adams lays out a clear path towards moving out of conflict. The next two months will be crucial in telling us whether others can also recognise the need for fundamental change.


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