Republican News · Thursday 2 July 1998

[An Phoblacht]

17.6% - Sinn Féin's record vote

Sinn Féin tops the poll in 5 constituencies


NEIL FORDE analyses SF's record vote

If you were one of the tens of thousands of people who were watching television coverage of last week's Assembly elections or perhaps reading one of the many newspaper election supplements you could be forgiven for thinking that Sinn Féin was a party on the fringe. TV commentators passed over the party's record election performance to concentrate instead on the drop in the Ulster Unionist Party vote which put a virtually unchanged SDLP in the position of recording the largest number of first preferences.

When the Sinn Féin vote was discussed it was mostly in terms of the party's vote management. Sinn Féin were, it seems, the only party engaged in vote management, the only party who ran candidates tactically to maximise representation for their electorate. This of course is nonsense, the truth is that Sinn Féin produced not the only example of vote management but the best one.

For the record, in last week's Assembly election Sinn Féin registered its highest vote since it began in 1981 to contest elections on a systematic basis. With 17.6% of first preferences the party also recorded the largest growth in votes of any party in the election. Sinn Féin elected 18 Assembly members and topped the poll in five constituencies.

Across the Six Counties Sinn Féin's vote showed gains not only in first preferences but also in strong transfer patterns from other parties to Sinn Féin.

Belfast

In the electoral cauldron of North Belfast Sinn Féin topped the poll just one third of a percent above the DUP and the SDLP. The party's vote in North Belfast has now stayed ahead of the SDLP in three consecutive elections.

In East and South Belfast the Sinn Féin vote also increased. In East Belfast Joe O'Donnell took just over 900 votes, 2.3% of the poll. Sean Hayes in East Belfast improved on his 1997 local election performance when he secured a city council seat. This time Sinn Féin polled 2,605 votes, 6.4% of the poll. An interesting facet of this count was that the SDLP's Alasdair McDonnell needed Hayes' transfers to get elected.

In West Belfast the Sinn Féin vote surged from 56% in 1997 to almost 60% this time around. Such a high first preference vote delivered four of the six seats for the party.

Newry and Armagh

One of the most impressive results in terms of seats delivered was in Newry and Armagh. Sinn Féin's vote increased from its 1997 level of 21% to almost 26%. Despite not having enough first preferences to make up two quotas, Sinn Féin still took the same number of seats as the SDLP.

Upper Bann

Upper Bann was Sinn Féin's breakthrough constituency in this election. The party vote increased from 12% of the vote in 1997 to 14.3 % this time. The two Sinn Féin candidates, Dara O'Hagan and Francie Murray, were just below a full quota.

O'Hagan pulled transfers from across the political spectrum. Dara even got five votes from David Trimble's surplus as well as 272 from Brid Rodgers. When Francie Murray was eliminated, 83% of his vote transferred to O'Hagan lifting her above the quota.

South Down

In South Down Mick Murphy repeated his success of 1996 when he secured a Forum seat for Sinn Féin. The party vote in this constituency grew by almost 50% between 1997 and 1998. With 15% of first preferences there was no doubt that Mick Murphy and Garret O'Fachtna could get a seat for Sinn Féin. When O'Fachtna was eliminated after the fifth count 69% of his vote transferred to Murphy.

Fermanagh/South Tyrone

Sinn Féin's electoral progress in the west of the Six Counties was spectacular. In Fermanagh South Tyrone, Mid Ulster and West Tyrone Sinn Féin topped the poll. In Fermanagh the Sinn Féin vote was at almost 27% significantly short of two quotas.

Like Newry Armagh Sinn Féin had run three candidates and all pulled transfers from other candidates. Pat Treanor, Michelle Gildernew and Gerry McHugh ran for the party. As the count progressed it was Gildernew and McHugh who were elected.

Mid Ulster

In Mid Ulster Sinn Féin elected three Assembly members with just 41% of the vote. The DUP's Willie McCrea made much of topping the vote in terms of being the highest polling candidate, but he was the sole DUP candidate elected. Martin McGuinness, Francie Molloy and John Kelly were the three Assembly members elected for Sinn Féin.

West Tyrone

In West Tyrone Sinn Féin took 34% of the vote and two Assembly seats. Pat Doherty and Barry McElduff were the two successful Sinn Féin candidates. Seamus Devine, the third Sinn Féin candidate, hung on until the ninth count but was pipped at the end by McElduff and the SDLP's Eugene McMenamin.

Foyle

In Foyle Sinn Féin's vote increased on its 1997 performance. Sinn Féin won 26% of first preferences; the SDLP vote in this constituency fell by almost 9% on their 1997 Westminster election performance..

Sinn Féin ran four candidates in this constituency, electing Mitchel MacLaughlin and Mary Nelis. Lynn Fleming and Gearoid O'hEara were eliminated on the fourth and fifth counts respectively.

Record vote

In other constituencies Sinn Féin stood candidates whose votes added to the party's record total. In Strangford Paddy McCreevy polled 614 votes, an increase on 1997. Pat Butler in Lagan Valley increased the Sinn Féin vote by 70%. His 2,000 votes made up 4.3% of the poll. There were two Sinn Féin candidates in East Derry. Again the party vote increased with Sinn Féin taking almost 10% of the vote. John McAlhenny and Malachy O'Kane were the two candidates for the party.

In East Antrim Chrissie McAuley increased on her 1997 performance for Sinn Féin, taking 2% of the vote. In North Antrim the two Sinn Féin candidates, Joe Cahill and James McCarry, took over 8% of the vote with 4,000 votes.

Finally, Martin Meehan won't have to give up his burgeoning acting career. His 3,226 votes were an increase on Sinn Féin's 1997 performance in this constituency. Meehan's 7.33% was some way off a quota. His transfers pushed the SDLP's Donovan McClelland over the quota and into an Assembly seat.


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